MARKET DEVELOPMENT –US Dollar Rises on Retail Sales, Gold and JPY Gain on Safe-Haven Flows
DailyFX Q2 2019 FX Trading Forecasts
USD: A bounce in the greenback after the relatively robust retail sales data, which saw the retail sales control beat analyst estimates. In turn, this has seen a pullback in Fed easing expectations, which in effect raises the question as to whether the market is too aggressively priced for rate cuts.
Gold: Gold prices are soaring this morning following the break above its 2019 high ($1346) and as such is on course for its 4th consecutive weekly gain. The latest catalyst behind this morning’s jump in gold looks to be more technical, having broken above the prior YTD high. (full analysis)
JPY: The Japanese Yen is up marginally with the risk aversion providing support for the safe-haven. 108.00 remains the stumbling block for further JPY gains for now, as USDJPY holds a relatively tight range.
SEK: Firmer footing for the Swedish Krona to close out the week, gaining against the USD and EUR following this mornings inflation report, which surprised to the upside. However, while this puts the Riksbank at ease, it is unlikely to raise expectations that the central bank would raise interest rates anytime soon.
Source: DailyFX, Thomson Reuters
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— Written by Justin McQueen, Market Analyst
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